Tropical Storm Sara is expected to form today, according to the National Hurricane Center. But its path remains uncertain.

States at a low risk for tropical impacts are Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina, according to the AccuWeather map. Florida is the only state with a medium and high risk of impacts, with South Florida facing the highest risk.

The National Hurricane Center said Tropical Storm Sara formed in the Caribbean on Thursday, and long-term forecast models show it could enter the Gulf of Mexico and turn toward Florida’s