Chances of a big asteroid strike on Earth just doubled. Here’s why you shouldn’t be too worried.
A large asteroid dubbed 2024 YR4 now has a 2.2% chance of hitting the Earth on Dec. 22, 2032, according to NASA and the European Space Agency. That estimate, made Friday, works out to approximately a one-in-45 chance of direct impact, which also means a 44-in-45 chance of a miss.
'Large' asteroid's odds of hitting Earth went up. But not why you think.
It's certain that recently discovered asteroid 2024 YR4 will swing close to Earth in 2032. The chances of an impact remain low — but with relatively limited observations so far, the odds are in flux.
Why the Odds of an Asteroid Striking Earth in 2032 Keep Going Up (and Down)
NASA and European scientists explain how they calculate the probability of the space rock 2024 YR4 impacting our planet, and why it’s not yet time to worry.
Chance of 2032 asteroid strike have increased. Why scientists say not to worry
The near-earth object first discovered in 2024 has stirred up conversation on social media because of the potential for an impact.
Newly discovered asteroid now has a slightly higher risk of hitting Earth
A newly discovered asteroid named 2024 YR4 now has a 2.2% chance of affecting Earth in 2032 after recent observations.
Is a Big Asteroid Going to Hit Earth in 2032?
No, or at least not because of the 2024 YR asteroid. First off, there is currently only about a one-in-43 chance that this rock hits Earth, and those odds will change (and probably go down) as scientists gather more data on the recently spotted asteroid. A nearly 98 percent chance it won’t hit us is pretty good.
Scientists taking 'active measures' for asteroid with slight chance of hitting earth.
YR4 has just above a 1% chance of crashing into Earth in 2032, which is why astronomers and space agencies are paying attention to it.
Odds of an asteroid impact in 2032 just went up. Here's why experts say you shouldn't worry
A 1-in-83 chance of an impact represented a 1.2% chance of an impact. That meant there was a 98.8% that 2024 YR4 would miss Earth. The new figure of 1-in-43 represents a 2.3% chance of a strike. "That means we are still at 97.7% chance of a miss from this asteroid," Rankin told Space.com.
An asteroid could collide with Earth: What could happen if it hits, and should we worry?
An asteroid could hit Earth, but scientists are continuing to gather data to understand its trajectory and potential impact to Earth.
Asteroid watch: 2024 YR4 is heading our way. Track its chances of hitting Earth with this NASA tool
The chances of our planet colliding with this newly discovered object in 2032 are very remote, but they have recently almost ...
The odds of an asteroid hitting Earth in 2032 just went slightly up
The chances that a space rock could hit Earth in less than a decade just went up slightly, according to NASA scientists. The ...
Astronomers have spied an asteroid that may be heading for Earth: What we know so far
On 27 December last year, astronomers using the ATLAS survey telescope in Chile discovered a small asteroid moving away from ...
Scientific American1d
How Can We Know If an Asteroid Will Hit Earth?
Keep your eye on the ball” is a motto for many athletes—and for astronomers trying to find Earth-threatening space rocks ...