Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

A week after a convincing election victory, president-elect Donald Trump remains more popular than current president Joe Biden. But both are upside down when it comes to their approval ratings, ...

Biden has faced historically low approval ratings at times during his time in office. In May, 538 said he was the least ...

Polls taken before Election Day did pretty well. Pollsters got close to the mark in races for president and senate, which is ...

Donald Trump outperformed expectations for his third straight presidential election, which will surely raise more questions about pollsters’ ability to gauge where elections stand. Trump pulled ...

That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

Ahead of the United States presidential elections on Tuesday, public opinion polls had predicted a neck-and-neck race between Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Yet eventually, Trump ...