You don’t have to take my word for it. Let’s compare the average of pre-election polls — computed by FiveThirtyEight and ...
FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, which complies the results of national and statewide polls and weights them according ...
But our analysis shows that there are more reasons to be optimistic than pessimistic about the state of the polls in 2024.
Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we ...
Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major ... which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.
Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 — Election Day — millions more will join them.
National polls indicate a tight presidential race on Election Day. How accurate are the polls, and when will we know who won?
Veteran pollster Nate Silver said Friday’s Marist poll bodes well for Vice President Harris’s campaign, with just days until ...
How can two polls say two different things? And can you even trust polls, anyway? Here at 538, we cover polls year-round, so we'd like to share with you some tips we've learned over the years ...
That's why we do things like publish ratings of pollster accuracy and transparency and make complex election forecasting ...