A week after a convincing election victory, president-elect Donald Trump remains more popular than current president Joe Biden. But both are upside down when it comes to their approval ratings, ...

Polls taken before Election Day did pretty well. Pollsters got close to the mark in races for president and senate, which is ...

Donald Trump outperformed expectations for his third straight presidential election, which will surely raise more questions about pollsters’ ability to gauge where elections stand. Trump pulled ...

That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

ABC News is projecting that Trump is expected to win Indiana’s 11 electoral votes. That is not a surprise. In previous ...

Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them.

According to 538's forecasts for the White House, U.S. Senate and U.S. House, control of the federal government is firmly up for grabs.

With both presidential campaigns wrapping up their bids in swing states like Michigan, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, national polls include either a lead within the mathematical margin or a ...

who trails at 43.4% according to recent polling data from FiveThirtyEight. The site provides an updated average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency ...

North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin — the candidates are separated by no more than two percentage points, according to the most recent polls from The New York Times and FiveThirtyEight.

On average, the size of the gap between the polls’ findings and the actual margin of victory is 2.7 percentage points nationwide and 4.2 points in individual states. Now, FiveThirtyEight ...