Odds of an asteroid impact in 2032 just went up. Here's why experts say you shouldn't worry
A 1-in-83 chance of an impact represented a 1.2% chance of an impact. That meant there was a 98.8% that 2024 YR4 would miss Earth. The new figure of 1-in-43 represents a 2.3% chance of a strike. "That means we are still at 97.7% chance of a miss from this asteroid," Rankin told Space.com.
'Large' asteroid's odds of hitting Earth went up. But not why you think.
It's certain that recently discovered asteroid 2024 YR4 will swing close to Earth in 2032. The chances of an impact remain low — but with relatively limited observations so far, the odds are in flux.
Newly discovered asteroid now has a slightly higher risk of hitting Earth
A newly discovered asteroid named 2024 YR4 now has a 2.2% chance of affecting Earth in 2032 after recent observations.
Chance of 2032 asteroid strike have increased. Why scientists say not to worry
The near-earth object first discovered in 2024 has stirred up conversation on social media because of the potential for an impact.
An asteroid could collide with Earth: What could happen if it hits, and should we worry?
An asteroid could hit Earth, but scientists are continuing to gather data to understand its trajectory and potential impact to Earth.
Chances of a big asteroid strike on Earth just doubled. Here’s why you shouldn’t be too worried.
A large asteroid dubbed 2024 YR4 now has a 2.2% chance of hitting the Earth on Dec. 22, 2032, according to NASA and the European Space Agency. That estimate, made Friday, works out to approximately a one-in-45 chance of direct impact, which also means a 44-in-45 chance of a miss.
NASA Just Doubled the Odds of an Asteroid Impact – Should We Worry?
YR4 now has a 2.3% chance of impacting Earth in 2032, prompting ongoing observations. Ground-based telescopes will track it until April, while NASA’s Webb Telescope will examine its size in 2025. New
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Astronomers Raise Odds of Asteroid Impact in 2032 to 2.3 Percent—Here’s Why You Shouldn’t Panic
The chance of a newly discovered space rock hitting Earth in about eight years was predicted at 1.6 percent last week. Though ...
A "city-killer" asteroid has a slim chance to crash into Earth. Here's what to know.
"An asteroid this size impacts Earth on average every few thousand years and could cause severe damage to a local region," ...
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Odds of an asteroid impact in less than 10 years have gone up – now it's 1 in 43
It seems like the chances of a 60-metre-wide asteroid crashing into earth has gone up, but there's not need to fear according ...
Asteroid Impact Modeling Reveals a Chilling Future – and a Surprising Ocean Rebound
What would happen if a 500-meter asteroid hit Earth? Scientists at the IBS Center for Climate Physics modeled the aftermath, ...
Near-Earth asteroid Bennu could hit Earth in 157 years and set off a global ‘impact winter,’ study says
Near-Earth asteroid Bennu has a slim chance of colliding with Earth in 2182. If it does, the impact could trigger a global ...